Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.923938 9.277920 10.761866 12.504724 14.491147 16.680067 19.270007
2026-01-11 5.631913 7.446253 9.647758 12.494854 16.056194 20.338802 25.850691
2026-01-18 4.311859 6.289567 8.892028 12.519832 17.390508 23.641054 32.195097
2026-01-25 3.334488 5.301041 8.076861 12.200666 18.073477 26.022152 37.452371
2026-02-01 2.642769 4.542448 7.397953 11.885152 18.611036 28.138598 42.424801
2026-02-08 2.082180 3.855563 6.684260 11.367549 18.724475 29.584556 46.490472
2026-02-15 1.680553 3.338435 6.133672 10.989544 18.949924 31.144366 50.771152
2026-02-22 1.481966 3.129098 6.041802 11.312614 20.268129 34.416004 57.821216
2026-03-01 1.318893 2.951041 5.969866 11.644627 21.610267 37.803635 65.269643
2026-03-08 1.090979 2.601086 5.533706 11.276207 21.720938 39.203771 69.640890
2026-03-15 0.917811 2.326515 5.192745 11.026226 21.990742 40.855963 74.499410
2026-03-22 0.847133 2.258653 5.242179 11.507233 23.597471 44.860892 83.510417
2026-03-29 0.752728 2.129977 5.173527 11.799946 24.980021 48.746463 92.887505
2026-04-05 0.646720 1.952742 4.981069 11.834255 25.908986 51.963972 101.458439
2026-04-12 0.556977 1.793865 4.800868 11.866808 26.833664 55.245214 110.385568
2026-04-19 0.461458 1.593327 4.487542 11.564056 27.045216 57.209334 117.059357
2026-04-26 0.382606 1.416600 4.196416 11.263423 27.216707 59.092299 123.692581
2026-05-03 0.308711 1.231341 3.846298 10.769836 26.913856 60.012184 128.553374
2026-05-10 0.253228 1.086262 3.570845 10.409416 26.851475 61.385856 134.355357
2026-05-17 0.229703 1.042845 3.565436 10.717466 28.317084 65.961860 146.712342
2026-05-24 0.209015 1.003329 3.563805 11.034094 29.830963 70.741172 159.763210
2026-05-31 0.172460 0.890424 3.322377 10.682750 29.734970 72.121258 166.033453
2026-06-07 0.144563 0.801186 3.133859 10.444393 29.879865 74.017607 173.468778